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HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062019
1500 UTC THU AUG 01 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 152.4W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 152.4W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 151.7W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.1N 154.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 157.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 20SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 159.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.7N 162.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.4N 165.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N 168.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 170.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 152.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
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FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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