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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 13 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Overnight satellite-derived winds showed a small surface circulation
has formed in association with the low pressure area located a few
hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has also increased within the past
few hours. If this activity were to continue, a short-lived
tropical depression could form later today or this evening while the
system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
By Sunday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the
system, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Bucci/Brown