000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100232
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri May 10 2024
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 11N96W to 08N117W. The
ITCZ continues from 08N117W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 84W
and 95W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from
04N to 13N between 95W and 111W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Gentle to moderate winds prevail W of the Baja California
peninsula, extending SE to offshore Cabo Corrientes, including
the entrance to the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are
elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico as well as in the Gulf
of California. Seas are in the 7-8 ft range offshore Baja
California Norte and 6-7 ft offshore Baja California Sur.
Elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico, seas are in the 4-6 ft
range. In the Gulf of California, seas of 1-3 ft are noted.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate northwest winds will
prevail offshore Baja California N of Cabo San Lazaro, with
moderate to fresh northwest winds S of Cabo San Lazaro through
the weekend. Northwest swell, with seas in excess of 8 ft, NW of
Punta Eugenia will subside overnight. Gentle to locally moderate
winds and moderate seas are expected elsewhere across the open
offshore waters of Mexico through Mon night.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Gentle to moderate winds prevail S of the monsoon trough with
light to gentle winds N of the monsoon trough. Seas are in the
5-6 ft range between Colombia and the Galapagos Islands, and 4-5
ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh south to southwest
winds are expected S of the monsoon trough through Fri. Southerly
swell will maintain seas of 6 to 7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands
through Sun. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail with
moderate seas.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A ridge extends from high pressure of 1034 mb near 46N134W SE to
near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between
the area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of
the ITCZ is supporting moderate trades N of the ITCZ to near 20N
and W of 115W. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range.
Gentle to locally moderate winds are elsewhere N of the ITCZ and
monsoon trough, with seas in the 5-7 ft range, except to 8 ft N
of 26N between 119W and 127W. Gentle to moderate winds are found
S of the ITCZ and monsoon trough, with seas of 5-7 ft.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate trade winds, and seas of 6-8
ft, will continue in the trade wind zone N of the ITCZ to near
20N and W of 120W through early next week. Northwest swell, with
seas to 8 ft, over the waters N of 26N between 119W and 127W will
start to subside tonight.
$$
AL
