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WTPA42 PHNL 170900
HURRICANE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 PM HST MON AUG 16 1999

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DORA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN.
CURRENT INTENSITY PUT AT 75 KT. A SLOW FURTHER WEAKENING EXPECTED
AND THEN HELD STEADY AT 65 KT AS IT REACHES THE DATELINE AND BECOMES
A TYPHOON. NEXT TARGET AFTER JOHNSTON...PERHAPS WAKE ISLAND? 
INITIAL MOTION IS 275/17. HAVE KEPT THE PREDICTED PATH A LITTLE
SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND CLOSE TO THE MAJORITY OF THE GUIDANCE
INCLUDING THE GFDL MODEL.
 
ROSENDAL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     17/0900Z 15.6N 163.7W    75 KTS
12HR VT     17/1800Z 15.8N 166.3W    75 KTS
24HR VT     18/0600Z 15.9N 170.5W    70 KTS
36HR VT     18/1800Z 16.2N 174.1W    65 KTS
48HR VT     19/0600Z 16.7N 177.2W    65 KTS
72HR VT     20/0600Z 17.0N 176.5E    65 KTS