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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 19 2000
 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECON AIRCRAFT WAS UNABLE TO FIND A WELL-
DEFINED CLOSED CIRCULATION AND THE DEPRESSION HAS DEGENERATED INTO A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A FEW SQUALLS TO THE NORTHEAST.  A
0948Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS ALSO SHOWED CHRIS AS MAINLY AN OPEN WAVE IN
THE SURFACE WIND FIELD. FOR THIS REASON...THIS WILL BE THE LAST
ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS 295/14.  THE CENTER OF CHRIS HAS BEEN RELOCATED
FARTHER WEST BASED ON RECON AIRCRAFT AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATING A SMALL SWIRL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION.  RECON WENT THROUGH THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST
AT 1500 FT AND FOUND ONLY SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE ENTIRE
BAND.  THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND THE DEEP CONVECTION ARE BOTH
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WATER TO THE NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS.

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OVER ON THE SYSTEM SHOULD PREVENT
STRENGTHENING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THEREAFTER...CONDITIONS MAY
BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR RE-STRENGTHENING...AS INDICATED
BY THE SHIPS MODEL.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE REGENERATION.

FORECASTER STEWART
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     19/1500Z 18.6N  61.1W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     20/0000Z 19.6N  63.1W    20 KTS...DISSIPATED
  
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