HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SAT OCT 28 2000
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CENTER OF PAUL HAS BECOME VERY
POORLY DEFINED.  WHILE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE UP NEAR AND
EAST OF THE CENTER...THE CIRCULATION IS BARELY PERTURBING THE ITCZ
LOCATED JUST TO ITS SOUTH.  THE SYSTEM WILL THUS BE DECLARED
DISSIPATED.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OR VORTICITY CENTER SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
WESTWARD UNDER STRONG LOW-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH.  THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT IF THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE.  THE EARLIEST THAT MIGHT HAPPEN IS 36 TO 48 HR.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON PAUL FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER.  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     29/0300Z 11.8N 128.8W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NNNN