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HURRICANE MICHELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM EST FRI NOV 02 2001
...MICHELLE BECOMES A HURRICANE...MOTION REMAINS SLOW AND ERRATIC...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...
AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
AT 7 AM EST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR JUST NORTH OF
SWAN ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
MICHELLE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR
3 MPH... 6 KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
INTERMITTENT BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM OUTER BANDS WILL OCCUR
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES...75 TO 150 MILLIMETERS...OF
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA
TONIGHT WHERE EXTENSIVE FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED.
REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...17.8 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM EST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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