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TROPICAL STORM BRET DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 23 1999
CORRECTION TO HEADER...CHANGE SUBTROPICAL TO TROPICAL STORM

WIND REPORTS FROM ALICE AND CORPUS CHRISTI ALONG WITH DOPPLER RADAR
WINDS INDICATE THAT BRET IS NEAR MINIMAL STORM STRENGTH.  THE
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH IS TO KEEP TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS.
 
THE MOTION HAS BEEN ROUGHLY 295/05 FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  THE
TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A SLOW MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION UNTIL DISSIPATION
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
THE BIG THING NOW IS RAINFALL.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF NEAR 10
INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED AND 10 TO 15 INCHES OF ADDITION RAINFALL
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SLOW MOVING SYSTEM.
 
LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/1500Z 27.4N  98.6W    40 KTS
12HR VT     24/0000Z 27.7N  99.2W    30 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     24/1200Z 27.7N 100.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     25/0000Z 27.7N 100.8W    25 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     25/1200Z 27.7N 101.6W    25 KTS...INLAND
72HR VT     26/1200Z DISSIPATED
 
 
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