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TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 25 1999
 
THE CONVECTIVE APPEARANCE OF CINDY IS A LITTLE RAGGED THIS MORNING
AND SO THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 55 KT.  CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO
SHIPS MODEL GUIDANCE.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 295/13...JUST A BIT TO THE RIGHT OF
THE PREVIOUS MOTION.  OOZ AVN BUILDS THE MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE AHEAD OF
CINDY AND SO THE MODEL GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY GFDL...HINTS AT A MORE
WESTERLY TRACK LATE IN THE PERIOD.  HOWEVER...THE O6Z AVN INDICATES
A MUCH WEAKER RIDGE AND A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK.  OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SHIFTED JUST A BIT TO THE RIGHT AT THIS TIME...UNTIL THE
MODEL TREND CAN BE CONFIRMED.

FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/1500Z 19.6N  46.3W    55 KTS
12HR VT     26/0000Z 20.2N  48.7W    55 KTS
24HR VT     26/1200Z 21.7N  51.2W    65 KTS
36HR VT     27/0000Z 23.3N  54.0W    70 KTS
48HR VT     27/1200Z 25.0N  56.5W    75 KTS
72HR VT     28/1200Z 28.5N  61.5W    85 KTS
 
 
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