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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 26 1999

THE CLOUD PATTERN OF CINDY DOES NOT SUGGEST ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT.  DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 4.0...65 KNOTS. 
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW LOOKS STRONG OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHWEST PORTION
OF THE HURRICANE.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS IN THE LAST
ADVISORY...BUT NOT QUITE AS MUCH SHOWN BY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE.  SEA
SURFACE TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG THE TRACK OF CINDY
UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACHES ABOUT 30N LATITUDE...THEREFORE THE
INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO LEVEL OFF NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 55-60W HAS BEEN PULLING CINDY MORE
NORTHWESTWARD.  INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/15.  THIS GENERAL
MOVEMENT SHOULD CONTINUE AS SUGGESTED BY THE U.K. MET OFFICE
MODEL...WHICH IS TYPICALLY A GOOD PERFORMER.

PASCH  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     26/0900Z 23.3N  50.4W    65 KTS
12HR VT     26/1800Z 24.9N  52.1W    75 KTS
24HR VT     27/0600Z 26.7N  54.0W    80 KTS
36HR VT     27/1800Z 28.5N  56.0W    85 KTS
48HR VT     28/0600Z 30.0N  57.5W    90 KTS
72HR VT     29/0600Z 32.5N  60.0W    90 KTS
 
 
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