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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 26 1999
 
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 AND 75 KT...AND THIS MAY BE THE
BEGINNING OF THE ANTICIPATED STRENGTHENING OF CINDY.  OUTFLOW
CONTINUES TO LOOK GOOD WITH A HEALTHY CDO.  WE WILL HOLD THE
INTENSITY AT 65 KT FOR THIS PACKAGE...AND IF THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN
CONTINUES TO IMPROVE...ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN THE WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON.  SEA SURFACE TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG THE
TRACK OF CINDY UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACHES ABOUT 30N LATITUDE...
THEREFORE THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO LEVEL OFF NEAR THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 55-60W HAS BEEN PULLING CINDY MORE
NORTHWESTWARD.  INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 320/17.  MOST OF THE
GUIDANCE HINTS AT A JOG TO THE WEST IN THE 24-48 H RANGE...BUT ALSO
THAT THIS WILL BE TEMPORARY.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED TO
THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY LATE IN THE FORECAST INTERVAL.
 
FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     26/1500Z 25.0N  51.2W    65 KTS
12HR VT     27/0000Z 26.7N  52.8W    75 KTS
24HR VT     27/1200Z 28.7N  54.8W    80 KTS
36HR VT     28/0000Z 30.1N  57.0W    85 KTS
48HR VT     28/1200Z 31.5N  58.5W    85 KTS
72HR VT     29/1200Z 35.0N  60.0W    85 KTS
 
 
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