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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 26 1999
 
SHIP ELUU6 REPORTED WINDS OF 60 KT ABOUT 90 MILES AWAY FROM THE
CENTER AT 18Z.  BASED ON THIS REPORT AND THE SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 75 KT FROM SAB...WE ARE INCREASING THE INTENSITY TO 75
KT WITH THIS ADVISORY.  RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS HOOKING BANDS
IN THE INNER CORE THAT MAY LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE.  THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO...BUT A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE.  INTENSIFICATION WILL BE LIMITED IN THE LONG RUN BY COOLER
SSTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER NORTH.
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 55-60W HAS BEEN PULLING CINDY MORE
NORTHWESTWARD.  INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/18...ABOUT THE SAME
AS THE LAST PACKAGE.  MODEL GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY UNANIMOUS ON A
RECURVATURE THROUGH A BREAK IN THE MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SHIFTED AGAIN TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...WITH A DISTINCT SLOWING OF THE FORWARD MOTION IN THE 24-
48 HOUR RANGE AS THE STEERING FLOW WEAKENS.
 
FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     26/2100Z 26.1N  52.9W    75 KTS
12HR VT     27/0600Z 27.8N  54.9W    85 KTS
24HR VT     27/1800Z 30.0N  56.9W    90 KTS
36HR VT     28/0600Z 31.8N  58.0W    90 KTS
48HR VT     28/1800Z 33.0N  58.5W    90 KTS
72HR VT     29/1800Z 36.5N  57.0W    85 KTS
 
 
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