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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI AUG 27 1999
 
CINDY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN STRUCTURE DURING THE NIGHT WITH THE
LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB REMAINING AT
77 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 80 KT. UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING BEFORE
CINDY RECURVES AND STARTS MOVING INTO COOLER WATER. THEREFORE...THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS MOTION
AND IS NOW 310/14. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
SOUTHWEST OF CINDY...WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH
OF BERMUDA. THIS COMBINATION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO TURN CINDY A
LITTLE MORE TO THE WEST BEFORE RECURVATURE. NHC HURRICANE GUIDANCE
REFLECTS THIS SHIFT...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS MOVED TO
THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE IN RESPONSE. THE HURRICANE IS STILL
FORECAST TO RECURVE BETWEEN 31N AND 33N AT ABOUT 36 HOURS.
 
BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/0900Z 27.8N  55.0W    80 KTS
12HR VT     27/1800Z 29.1N  56.7W    85 KTS
24HR VT     28/0600Z 30.9N  58.6W    90 KTS
36HR VT     28/1800Z 32.9N  58.9W    90 KTS
48HR VT     29/0600Z 35.0N  58.0W    90 KTS
72HR VT     30/0600Z 39.0N  52.5W    85 KTS
 
 
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