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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  44
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 1999
 
CINDY IS MOVING 025/7 AND IS ALREADY WELL EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
STEERING FLOW BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND AN APPROACHING
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH.  IN RESPONSE TO THIS PATTERN...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS...CINDY SHOULD
MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
DVORAK T-NUMBERS CONTINUE TO DECREASE WHILE THE OVERALL CLOUD
PATTERN WEAKENS. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS VERY WELL
DEFINED...CONVECTION HAS DECREASED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 90 KNOTS. 
CINDY SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE OVER COOL WATERS...SO A GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS INDICATED. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
   
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     29/2100Z 34.1N  57.3W    90 KTS
12HR VT     30/0600Z 35.0N  56.8W    85 KTS
24HR VT     30/1800Z 36.5N  54.5W    80 KTS
36HR VT     31/0600Z 39.0N  51.0W    70 KTS
48HR VT     31/1800Z 42.0N  46.5W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT     01/1800Z 47.5N  33.0W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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