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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON AUG 30 1999

THE HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE EVEN ON VISIBLE
IMAGES...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE ANTICIPATED ACCELERATION HAS NOT
YET TAKEN PLACE.  NONETHELESS...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING
FLOW IS LIKELY TO BEGIN INFLUENCING CINDY SOON.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TWO...AND ROUGHLY
FOLLOWS THE LATEST AVN RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL.

SHEARING CONTINUES OVER THE SYSTEM...BUT SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST
THAT THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING THE DAY. 
WEAKENING IS PREDICTED AS CINDY ENCOUNTERS COLDER WATERS.  IT IS
EXPECTED THAT THE SYSTEM WILL BE LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/2100Z 36.3N  54.0W    80 KTS
12HR VT     31/0600Z 38.0N  51.5W    70 KTS
24HR VT     31/1800Z 41.0N  47.0W    65 KTS
36HR VT     01/0600Z 44.0N  42.0W    55 KTS
48HR VT     01/1800Z 47.0N  37.0W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT     02/1800Z 52.0N  25.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
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