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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST MON NOV 01 1999

THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING DIFFUSE AND THE CENTER IS HARD TO
IDENTIFY...EVEN ON HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGES.  KATRINA IS BEING
ABSORBED INTO THE COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING INTO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA.  THIS IS CAUSING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DISSIPATE.  THE
COMBINATION OF DRY STABLE AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE REDEVELOPMENT.  

INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT THE SAME AS BEFORE.  THE
TRACK FORECAST IS ALSO SIMILAR...HOWEVER SINCE THE CENTER IS
BECOMING DIFFICULT TO FIND RIGHT NOW...NO POSITIONS ARE GIVEN BEYOND
24 HOURS.

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINAS REMNANTS AND A MOIST TROPICAL FLOW
FROM THE CARIBBEAN INTO THE EASTERN GULF...COMBINED WITH THE FRONTAL
ZONE...STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     01/2100Z 21.1N  89.4W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     02/0600Z 21.7N  87.6W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     02/1800Z 22.5N  85.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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