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WTPA42 PHNL 141500
HURRICANE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER  35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
5 AM HST SAT AUG 14 1999
 
HURRICANE DORA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT MOVES INTO
COOLER WATER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW 70 KNOTS. THE STRENGTH OF
THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE STORM AND WILL KEEP THE PATH SOUTH OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PATH. ALL CURRENT MODELS CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN THE
STORM TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE AVIATION MODEL PROJECTS
SHEARING OF THE SYSTEM FROM UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS AS DORA
APPROACHES 160 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

INITIAL MOTION IS 275/15. ONLY SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK.  HABLUTZEL.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/1500Z 15.6N 144.1W    70 KTS
12HR VT     15/0000Z 15.7N 146.5W    65 KTS
24HR VT     15/1200Z 16.0N 149.5W    60 KTS
36HR VT     16/0000Z 16.4N 152.5W    55 KTS
48HR VT     16/1200Z 17.0N 155.5W    50 KTS
72HR VT     17/1200Z 17.5N 161.0W    50 KTS