![]() |
HOME |
ACTIVE CYCLONES |
FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT TPC | RECONNAISSANCE |
---|
WTPA42 PHNL 150900 HURRICANE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT AUG 14 1999 HURRICANE DORA HAS REINTENSIFIED WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES AT 90 KT AND CURRENT DROPSONDE READINGS AT 93 KT. IT CONTINUES ON A DUE WESTWARD PATH AND WITH FIRM RIDGING MAINTAINING ITSELF NORTH OF DORA AND THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT EXISTING OR DEVELOPING TROUGH TO ITS WEST WILL FAVOR ONLY A SLIGHT NORTHWARD NUDGE IN DEFERENCE TO SOME OF THE MODELS. IN TUNE WITH OUR THINKING THE BAMM AND BAMD PROJECT A MORE WESTWARD AND EVEN WESTSOUTHWARD TURN BEYOND 48 HOURS. WE WILL ALSO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT INCREASED STRENGTH OF DORA THRU 24 HOURS DUE TO THE NEW SST WHICH INDICATES A CONSISTENT 26 DEGREE WATER ALONG DORAS PATH RATHER THAN THE EARLIER COOLER INHIBITING WATER. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 15.5N 149.9W 90 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 15.6N 152.7W 90 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 16.1N 156.4W 90 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 16.5N 159.9W 85 KTS 48HR VT 17/0600Z 17.2N 163.2W 80 KTS 72HR VT 18/0600Z 18.3N 169.3W 70 KTS