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WTPA43 PHNL 130900
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 PM HST THU AUG 12 1999

ALTHO CONVECTION HAS COVERED THE CENTER FROM SATELLITE VIEW
AIR RECCE INDICATES A WELL DEFINED CENTER. EUGENE IS NOW IN A
CONSISTENTLY DUE WESTWARD TRACK. CONCENSUS OF ALL MODELS
AGREE WITH SUCH A MOVEMENT...RIDGING AT ALL LEVELS IS WELL
ESTABLISHED NORTH OF EUGENE WITH NO SIGNS OF DECAYING BY
FUTURE TROUGHING. BOTH LIMITED CONVECTION AND A PATH TOWARD
GRADUALLY COOLER WATER AGREE WITH SHIFORS WEAKENING TREND.  MATSUDA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     13/0900Z 14.7N 148.5W    55 KTS
12HR VT     13/1800Z 14.8N 150.4W    50 KTS
24HR VT     14/0600Z 15.0N 152.8W    45 KTS
36HR VT     14/1800Z 15.1N 155.3W    40 KTS
48HR VT     15/0600Z 15.3N 157.9W    35 KTS
72HR VT     16/0600Z 15.5N 163.6W    35 KTS