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WTPA43 PHNL 150300
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
5 PM HST SAT AUG 14 1999
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. IMAGERY ANIMATION SUGGESTS A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER WARMER WATERS... STRENGTHENING IS
NOT LIKELY AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS 260/15. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
HABLUTZEL/ROSENDAL.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     15/0300Z 13.1N 158.0W    30 KTS
12HR VT     15/1200Z 12.8N 159.8W    30 KTS
24HR VT     16/0000Z 12.8N 162.4W    30 KTS
36HR VT     16/1200Z 12.7N 165.1W    25 KTS
48HR VT     17/0000Z 13.0N 168.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     18/0000Z 13.5N 173.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING