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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
1500Z MON JUN 14 1999
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  60.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  60.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.1N  62.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 30.9N  63.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  60.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 32.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 33.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN/PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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