HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
2100Z MON JUN 14 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  61.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  61.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  60.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.4N  61.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.0N  62.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  61.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 32.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 34.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FRANKLIN/PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN