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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
2100Z TUE JUN 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  61.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  61.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  61.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 30.4N  61.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.9N  62.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  61.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 33.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 37.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FRANKLIN/JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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