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TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
0900Z FRI AUG 20 1999
...CORRECTION...64 KT WIND RADII ARE 20 NMI ALL QUADS AT 36 HRS.  
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TAMPICO SOUTHWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  94.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  90SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  94.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.9N  94.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.3N  95.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  90SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  94.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 21.0N  96.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N  97.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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