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TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
1500Z FRI AUG 20 1999
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD
TO VERACRUZ.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM
VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  94.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  90SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  94.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.6N  94.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.3N  95.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  90SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  95.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  90SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  94.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 23.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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