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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
0300Z SAT AUG 21 1999
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO VERACRUZ.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  94.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER   8 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  94.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  94.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.4N  94.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.3N  95.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.7N  96.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  94.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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