HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
0900Z SAT AUG 21 1999
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN AFFECT FROM TUXPAN MEXICO TO BAFFIN BAY
TEXAS.  ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF TUXPAN
MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  94.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER   8 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  45SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  70SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  94.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.5N  95.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.1N  96.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  94.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N  97.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.0N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN