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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
2100Z SAT AUG 21 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO TUXPAN
MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  95.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  18 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW
50 KT....... 55NE  40SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT.......125NE 100SE  45SW  70NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  95.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  95.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  70NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.7N  96.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N  95.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.8N  98.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 25.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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