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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
0300Z SUN AUG 22 1999
 
...COR TO REMOVE THE WORD WARNING AFTER WATCH...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS.  HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN
EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM EAST OF PORT
OCONNOR TO FREEPORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO
TUXPAN MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  95.1W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  18 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW
50 KT....... 55NE  40SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  45SW  70NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  95.1W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  95.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.0N  95.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.9N  96.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.5N  97.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  95.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 27.5N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.7N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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