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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
2100Z SUN AUG 22 1999

...CORRRECTION FOR WARNING SECTION...TROPICAL STORM WARNING 
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO 
PORT OCONNOR TEXAS.  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT 
FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM EAST OF PORT 
OCONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  97.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  15SW  20NW
50 KT....... 75NE  40SE  25SW  30NW
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  45SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  97.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  96.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.3N  98.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  40NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N  99.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  97.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 27.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 27.5N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
GUINEY/LAWRENCE
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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