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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
0900Z MON AUG 23 1999
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE CHANGED TO TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
ARANSAS. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  98.2W AT 23/0900Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  98.2W AT 23/0900Z...INLAND
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  97.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.1N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.1N  99.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.1N 100.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  98.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.1N 101.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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