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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0599
1500Z WED AUG 25 1999
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT...EXUMAS...LONG...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING ABACOS...ANDROS...BERRY...BIMINI
...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA...AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLANDS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  72.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  72.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.2N  75.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N  76.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  72.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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