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HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0599
2100Z FRI AUG 27 1999
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO
FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE ADJUSTED
NORTHWARD AS THE HURRICANE MOVES PARALLEL TO THE EAST FLORIDA COAST.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR...ELEUTHERA...THE ABACOS BERRY
AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS.
 
RESIDENTS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  76.3W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 90NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
34 KT.......125NE 100SE  30SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  60SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  76.3W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 26.7N  77.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
34 KT...125NE 100SE  30SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  25SW  60NW
34 KT...125NE 100SE  50SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  76.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 30.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 33.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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