HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
2100Z MON SEP 13 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACO ISLANDS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE
ISLAND...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...
EXUMAS ISLANDS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
MAINLAND FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUST SOUTH OF
BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GEORGIA COAST
FROM BRUNSWICK TO SAVANNAH.  THE HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CAROLINA LATER TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  73.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  923 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT
64 KT.......110NE  40SE  30SW  90NW
50 KT.......180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT.......225NE 190SE 175SW 190NW
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 175SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  73.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.6N  75.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT...110NE  40SE  30SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...225NE 190SE 175SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.2N  78.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT...110NE  40SE  30SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...225NE 190SE 175SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 28.4N  79.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT...110NE  40SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW 100NW
34 KT...225NE 190SE 125SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  73.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 30.9N  80.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW 100NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 37.0N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
  
NNNN