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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
0900Z TUE SEP 14 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACO ISLANDS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS
...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND
...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS
ISLANDS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR ISLAND.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS IS DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.  THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MAINLAND FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  75.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  927 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT
64 KT.......110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT.......180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT.......250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
12 FT SEAS..300NE 225SE 200SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  75.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  75.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.1N  77.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 27.6N  79.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.7N  80.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 125SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  75.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 32.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 40.0N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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