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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
1500Z TUE SEP 14 1999

..COR TO THE 48-H INTENSITY
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACO ISLANDS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS
...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND
...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS
ISLANDS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MAINLAND FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  76.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  932 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT
64 KT.......110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT.......180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT.......250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
12 FT SEAS..550NE 225SE 200SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  76.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  76.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 28.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  60SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE 105SW 150NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 150SW 190NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT
64 KT...110NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...250NE 190SE 125SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  76.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 34.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT
50 KT...180NE 140SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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