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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
2100Z WED SEP 15 1999
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO CHINCOTEAGUE
VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY
INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE POTOMAC BASIN AND DELAWARE
BAY.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMAC RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT
64 KT.......120NE 105SE  30SW  40NW
50 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 180SW 135NW
12 FT SEAS..600NE 250SE 125SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  79.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 33.9N  78.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT...120NE 105SE  30SW  40NW
50 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  90NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 135NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.5N  77.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT...120NE 105SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.4N  75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  79.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N  71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 48.0N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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