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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
1500Z THU SEP 16 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA TO MANASQUAN INLET NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE
SOUND AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT...AND FROM
MORICHES INLET NEW YORK TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS.  AT 11 AM
EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM CAPE HATTERAS
SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE POTOMAC BASIN...DELAWARE BAY...AND FROM NORTH
OF MANASQUAN INLET NEW JERSEY TO MORICHES INLET NEW YORK...INCLUDING
LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND FROM NORTH OF PLYMOUTH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS.
 
INTERESTS FROM CAPE HATTERAS SOUTHWARD SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  76.0W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT 21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT.......100NE  80SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 125SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..500NE 300SE 125SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  76.0W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  76.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 43.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 46.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  76.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.0N  50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 51.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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