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TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0999
1500Z SUN SEP 12 1999
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  32.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  32.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  31.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.0N  35.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.2N  39.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.3N  42.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  32.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 14.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 14.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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