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HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0999
2100Z TUE SEP 14 1999
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  46.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  46.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  45.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N  48.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N  53.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  46.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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