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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1099
1500Z MON SEP 20 1999
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH ARE ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE
MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD TO JUST
SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  85.9W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 90NE 110SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 110SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  85.9W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.4N  85.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  30SW   0NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.9N  83.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 120SE  60SW   0NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.7N  81.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 120SE  60SW   0NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  85.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 31.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 37.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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