HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1199
1500Z TUE OCT 05 1999
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  94.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  94.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  94.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.7N  94.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.9N  95.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.3N  95.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  94.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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