HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1199
0300Z WED OCT 06 1999
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  95.0W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  95.0W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  95.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N  95.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.2N  95.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  95.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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