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TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
2100Z WED OCT 13 1999
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...
CIUDAD HAVANA MATANZAS AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF CRAIG KEY INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  83.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  83.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  83.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 21.2N  83.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 22.5N  83.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  83.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 27.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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