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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
0300Z FRI OCT 15 1999
...CORRECTION TO 34 KNOT WIND RADIUS AT 24 HOURS...75 TO 100 N MI...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC..THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS.  A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF HAVANA
AND CIUDAD HAVANA CUBA.  THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  82.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  82.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  82.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.7N  82.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
50 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.0N  82.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
50 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  82.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 29.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 34.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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