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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
1500Z SAT OCT 16 1999
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
FLORIDA TO SOUTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SURF CITY TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BIMINI AND
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  80.0W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  28 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT.......120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  80.0W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  80.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.3N  79.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.8N  79.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.0N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  80.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.0N  71.0W.
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 50.0N  50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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