HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
0300Z SUN OCT 17 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS REPLACED BY A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF NEW SMYRNA BEACH FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO NEW SMYRNA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  79.7W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW
50 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT.......220NE 200SE  75SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE  75SW 125NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  79.7W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  79.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.2N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW
50 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT...220NE 200SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW
50 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 38.0N  72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...175NE 150SE  50SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  79.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N  66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 53.0N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
NNNN