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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
1500Z SUN OCT 17 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  79.8W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW
50 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT.......270NE 270SE  90SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE  90SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  79.8W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  79.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.2N  79.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW
50 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT...270NE 270SE  90SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 37.0N  74.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 200SE  90SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.0N  66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 75NE  50SE   0SW  75NW
34 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 120NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  79.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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