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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
2100Z MON OCT 18 1999
 
...CORRECT MINIMUM PRESSURE FROM 1003 TO 1000 MB...

AT 5 PM...2100Z...THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED BY THE APPROPRIATE GOVERNMENT AGENCIES/WEATHER OFFICES...
 
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
...A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE GRENADINES...ST VINCENT...ST LUCIA...
AND DOMINICA.
 
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRENADA.
 
...AT 8 PM...0000Z...A HURRICANE WATCH FOR MARTINIQUE...GUADELOUPE
AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS.  ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST
KITTS... NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
AT 5 PM...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
IS DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  55.6W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  55.6W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  55.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.9N  58.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.9N  60.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  55.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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