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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
0900Z TUE OCT 19 1999
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR DOMINICA. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
ANGUILLA TO MONTSERRAT...AND FOR ST. LUCIA IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES.
 
INTERESTS IN THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.  WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  57.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  57.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  57.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.8N  59.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.2N  63.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  57.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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